Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 76/100
✓ correct
83%
12%
1 83%X 12%2 5%
Match preview
Man City face Watford in the Premier League, April 23, 2022. Predify's model leans a home win with a 83% probability. Over their last five, Man City collected 11/15 points to Watford's 3/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 71% and both teams to score 34%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
71%
Under 2.5
29%
BTTS yes
34%
Expected goals
3.2624 - 0.4344
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)96%
12 (home/away)88%
X2 (draw/away)17%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.589%
Over 2.571%
Over 3.550%
Clean sheet
Man City65%
Watford4%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Man City attaque 1.60 face à une défense 1.38 ; Watford attaque 0.63 face à 0.53.
Buts attendus (λ)
3.2624 - 0.4344
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Man City 11/15 · Watford 3/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0028).
Strengths — Man City: att 1.60 / def 0.53 · Watford: att 0.63 / def 1.38
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.13 / 9.5 / 26
Likely scores
3-0 · 14.4%
2-0 · 13.2%
4-0 · 11.7%
1-0 · 7.7%
5-0 · 7.6%
Head-to-head
1Man City
0draws
0Watford
1 meetings
Avg goals · 4.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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