Predify
World Cup 2026
Title probabilities from our proprietary engine: we replay the tournament thousands of times (real results + remaining matches projected by our engine) and count the winners.
1
Argentina
Argentina20.3%
final 33% · ½ 49%2
Spain
Spain15.8%
final 26% · ½ 41%3
France
France14.0%
final 25% · ½ 42%4
England
England7.0%
final 13% · ½ 27%5
Brazil
Brazil6.5%
final 12% · ½ 24%6
Colombia
Colombia5.0%
final 11% · ½ 21%7
Morocco
Morocco4.8%
final 10% · ½ 20%8
Japan
Japan3.8%
final 8% · ½ 17%9
Portugal
Portugal3.6%
final 8% · ½ 16%10
Belgium
Belgium2.9%
final 7% · ½ 16%11
Netherlands
Netherlands2.7%
final 6% · ½ 14%12
Germany
Germany2.1%
final 5% · ½ 13%13
Senegal
Senegal1.6%
final 4% · ½ 9%14
Mexico
Mexico1.5%
final 4% · ½ 11%15
Algeria
Algeria1.1%
final 3% · ½ 9%16
Switzerland
Switzerland1.1%
final 3% · ½ 8%17
Croatia
Croatia0.9%
final 3% · ½ 7%18
Ecuador
Ecuador0.8%
final 3% · ½ 8%19
United States
United States0.7%
final 3% · ½ 8%20
Egypt
Egypt0.7%
final 2% · ½ 6%21
Australia
Australia0.7%
final 2% · ½ 6%22
Canada
Canada0.6%
final 2% · ½ 7%23
Norway
Norway0.6%
final 2% · ½ 6%24
Côte d’Ivoire
Côte d’Ivoire0.4%
final 2% · ½ 5%25
Austria
Austria0.2%
final 1% · ½ 3%26
Congo - Kinshasa
Congo - Kinshasa0.2%
final 1% · ½ 2%27
Sweden
Sweden0.2%
final 1% · ½ 2%28
Paraguay
Paraguay0.1%
final 0% · ½ 2%29
South Africa
South Africa0.0%
final 0% · ½ 1%30
Cape Verde
Cape Verde0.0%
final 0% · ½ 1%31
Ghana
Ghana0.0%
final 0% · ½ 1%32
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Bosnia & Herzegovina0.0%
final 0% · ½ 0%⚠️ Estimates from our engine on the official FIFA structure (neutral venue). Indicative — not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly · 18+.