Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 55/100
✓ correct
26%
29%
44%
1 26%X 29%2 44%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +5.5% vs market)
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS yes
49%
Expected goals
0.9576 - 1.5149
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)56%
12 (home/away)71%
X2 (draw/away)74%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.572%
Over 2.545%
Over 3.524%
Clean sheet
Norwich22%
Newcastle38%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Norwich attaque 0.63 face à une défense 1.02 ; Newcastle attaque 0.84 face à 1.38.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.9576 - 1.5149
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Norwich 4/15 · Newcastle 9/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.003).
Strengths — Norwich: att 0.63 / def 1.38 · Newcastle: att 0.84 / def 1.02
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 3.54 / 3.38 / 2.25
Likely scores
1-1 · 13.5%
0-1 · 11.6%
0-2 · 9.7%
0-0 · 9.7%
1-2 · 9.3%
Head-to-head
0Norwich
1draws
0Newcastle
1 meetings
Avg goals · 2.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 0%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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