Predify
Premier League · May 07, 2022
1X2 prediction
confidence 60/100
✓ correct
59%
25%
16%
1 59%X 25%2 16%
⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +11.7% vs market)
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS yes
44%
Expected goals
2.0846 - 0.6818
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)84%
12 (home/away)75%
X2 (draw/away)41%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.577%
Over 2.552%
Over 3.530%
Clean sheet
Crystal Palace51%
Watford12%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Crystal Palace attaque 0.95 face à une défense 1.51 ; Watford attaque 0.65 face à 0.82.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.0846 - 0.6818
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Crystal Palace 7/15 · Watford 0/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0126).
Strengths — Crystal Palace: att 0.95 / def 0.82 · Watford: att 0.65 / def 1.51
Recent form (last 5)
Crystal PalaceWLLDW
WatfordLLLLL
Market odds
football-data — 1.7 / 3.89 / 5.59
Likely scores
2-0 · 13.7%
1-0 · 12.2%
1-1 · 9.8%
3-0 · 9.5%
2-1 · 9.3%
Head-to-head
1Crystal Palace
0draws
0Watford
1 meetings
Avg goals · 5.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
Feb 23, 22Watford1-4Crystal Palace
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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