Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 55/100
actual X
23%
29%
49%
1 23%X 29%2 49%
⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +10.2% vs market)
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS yes
50%
Expected goals
1.028 - 1.3989
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)51%
12 (home/away)71%
X2 (draw/away)77%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.571%
Over 2.544%
Over 3.523%
Clean sheet
Watford25%
Everton36%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Watford attaque 0.61 face à une défense 1.13 ; Everton attaque 0.75 face à 1.45.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.028 - 1.3989
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Watford 0/15 · Everton 10/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0165).
Strengths — Watford: att 0.61 / def 1.45 · Everton: att 0.75 / def 1.13
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 6.01 / 3.79 / 1.68
Likely scores
1-1 · 14.0%
0-1 · 11.1%
0-0 · 10.1%
1-2 · 8.9%
0-2 · 8.6%
Head-to-head
1Watford
0draws
0Everton
1 meetings
Avg goals · 7.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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