Analysis Leeds – Leicester (Premier League)

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Premier League · April 25, 2023

Leeds

1:1LLeicester

1X2 prediction

confidence 54/100

actual X

37%

27%

36%

1 37%X 27%2 36%

⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +7.7% vs market)

Over 2.5

64%

Under 2.5

36%

BTTS yes

66%

Expected goals

1.5928 - 1.7157

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)64%

12 (home/away)73%

X2 (draw/away)63%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.585%

Over 2.564%

Over 3.542%

Clean sheet

Leeds18%

Leicester20%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

Leeds attaque 0.87 face à une défense 1.18 ; Leicester attaque 0.91 face à 1.49.

Buts attendus (λ)

1.5928 - 1.7157

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

Leeds 3/15 · Leicester 3/15

Accord avec le marché

Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0048).

Strengths — Leeds: att 0.87 / def 1.49 · Leicester: att 0.91 / def 1.18

Recent form (last 5)

Leeds

LWLLL

L Leicester

LLLLW

Market odds

football-data — 2.42 / 3.6 / 3.02

Likely scores

1-1 · 11.0%

1-2 · 8.6%

2-1 · 8.0%

2-2 · 6.8%

0-2 · 5.4%

Head-to-head

0Leeds

1draws

2Leicester

3 meetings

Avg goals · 1.7

BTTS yes · 33%

Over 2.5 · 0%

Oct 20, 22Leicester2-0Leeds

Mar 05, 22Leicester1-0Leeds

Nov 07, 21Leeds1-1Leicester

ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.

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