Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 76/100
✓ correct
84%
1 84%X 11%2 5%
⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +10.3% vs market)
Over 2.5
87%
Under 2.5
13%
BTTS yes
47%
Expected goals
4.3181 - 0.6406
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)95%
12 (home/away)89%
X2 (draw/away)16%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.596%
Over 2.587%
Over 3.573%
Clean sheet
Man City53%
Leeds1%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Man City attaque 1.79 face à une défense 1.48 ; Leeds attaque 0.84 face à 0.61.
Buts attendus (λ)
4.3181 - 0.6406
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Man City 15/15 · Leeds 1/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0197).
Strengths — Man City: att 1.79 / def 0.61 · Leeds: att 0.84 / def 1.48
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.17 / 8.75 / 17
Likely scores
4-0 · 10.2%
3-0 · 9.5%
5-0 · 8.8%
2-0 · 6.6%
4-1 · 6.6%
Head-to-head
3Man City
0draws
0Leeds
3 meetings
Avg goals · 5.0
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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