Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 59/100
actual X
18%
23%
59%
1 18%X 23%2 59%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +7.8% vs market)
Over 2.5
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS yes
57%
Expected goals
0.9707 - 2.3594
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)41%
12 (home/away)77%
X2 (draw/away)82%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.585%
Over 2.565%
Over 3.543%
Clean sheet
Leeds9%
Newcastle38%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Leeds attaque 0.82 face à une défense 0.72 ; Newcastle attaque 1.26 face à 1.46.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.9707 - 2.3594
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Leeds 1/15 · Newcastle 9/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0059).
Strengths — Leeds: att 0.82 / def 1.46 · Newcastle: att 1.26 / def 0.72
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 5.16 / 4.5 / 1.63
Likely scores
0-2 · 10.0%
1-2 · 9.7%
1-1 · 9.0%
0-3 · 7.8%
0-1 · 7.6%
Head-to-head
0Leeds
2draws
1Newcastle
3 meetings
Avg goals · 1.0
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 0%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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