Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 74/100
✓ correct
82%
1 82%X 12%2 7%
Match preview
Arsenal face Luton in the Premier League, April 03, 2024. Predify's model leans a home win with a 82% probability. Over their last five, Arsenal collected 13/15 points to Luton's 2/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 80% and both teams to score 53%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
80%
Under 2.5
20%
BTTS yes
53%
Expected goals
3.5358 - 0.7751
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)94%
12 (home/away)88%
X2 (draw/away)18%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.593%
Over 2.580%
Over 3.562%
Clean sheet
Arsenal46%
Luton3%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Arsenal attaque 1.56 face à une défense 1.29 ; Luton attaque 0.98 face à 0.54.
Buts attendus (λ)
3.5358 - 0.7751
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Arsenal 13/15 · Luton 2/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0003).
Strengths — Arsenal: att 1.56 / def 0.54 · Luton: att 0.98 / def 1.29
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.13 / 10.5 / 19.5
Likely scores
3-0 · 9.9%
4-0 · 8.8%
2-0 · 8.4%
3-1 · 7.7%
4-1 · 6.8%
Head-to-head
1Arsenal
0draws
0Luton
1 meetings
Avg goals · 7.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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