Predify
Premier League · April 06, 2024
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
actual 1
31%
25%
43%
1 31%X 25%2 43%
⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +11.2% vs market)
Over 2.5
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS yes
68%
Expected goals
1.6834 - 1.7375
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)57%
12 (home/away)75%
X2 (draw/away)69%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.587%
Over 2.566%
Over 3.545%
Clean sheet
Luton18%
Bournemouth19%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Luton attaque 0.93 face à une défense 1.02 ; Bournemouth attaque 0.94 face à 1.28.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.6834 - 1.7375
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Luton 2/15 · Bournemouth 13/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0129).
Strengths — Luton: att 0.93 / def 1.28 · Bournemouth: att 0.94 / def 1.02
Recent form (last 5)
L Luton
DLDLL
BournemouthWDWWW
Market odds
football-data — 3.82 / 4.07 / 1.92
Likely scores
1-1 · 10.5%
1-2 · 8.3%
2-1 · 8.1%
2-2 · 7.0%
0-2 · 4.9%
Head-to-head
0Luton
0draws
1Bournemouth
1 meetings
Avg goals · 7.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
Mar 13, 24Bournemouth4-3Luton
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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