Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 72/100
✓ correct
80%
13%
1 80%X 13%2 7%
⚡ Value detected on X (edge +5.8% vs market)
Over 2.5
74%
Under 2.5
26%
BTTS yes
54%
Expected goals
3.0301 - 0.8321
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)93%
12 (home/away)87%
X2 (draw/away)20%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.590%
Over 2.574%
Over 3.554%
Clean sheet
Man City44%
Luton5%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Man City attaque 1.38 face à une défense 1.24 ; Luton attaque 0.94 face à 0.60.
Buts attendus (λ)
3.0301 - 0.8321
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Man City 11/15 · Luton 4/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0106).
Strengths — Man City: att 1.38 / def 0.60 · Luton: att 0.94 / def 1.24
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.08 / 13.5 / 26
Likely scores
3-0 · 9.8%
2-0 · 9.7%
3-1 · 8.1%
2-1 · 8.0%
4-0 · 7.4%
Head-to-head
1Man City
0draws
0Luton
1 meetings
Avg goals · 3.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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