Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
actual X
36%
28%
36%
1 36%X 28%2 36%
Match preview
Luton face Everton in the Premier League, May 03, 2024 — and the model calls it tight: 36% home, 28% draw, 36% away. Over their last five, Luton collected 3/15 points to Everton's 12/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 50% and both teams to score 56%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS yes
56%
Expected goals
1.3693 - 1.324
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)64%
12 (home/away)72%
X2 (draw/away)64%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.576%
Over 2.550%
Over 3.528%
Clean sheet
Luton27%
Everton25%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Luton attaque 0.89 face à une défense 0.85 ; Everton attaque 0.65 face à 1.40.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.3693 - 1.324
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Luton 3/15 · Everton 12/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0012).
Strengths — Luton: att 0.89 / def 1.40 · Everton: att 0.65 / def 0.85
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 2.78 / 3.7 / 2.52
Likely scores
1-1 · 13.5%
2-1 · 8.4%
1-2 · 8.1%
1-0 · 8.0%
0-0 · 8.0%
Head-to-head
1Luton
0draws
0Everton
1 meetings
Avg goals · 3.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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