Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
actual X
32%
27%
40%
1 32%X 27%2 40%
Match preview
Brentford face Chelsea in the Premier League, April 06, 2025 — and the model calls it tight: 32% home, 27% draw, 40% away. Over their last five, Brentford collected 7/15 points to Chelsea's 9/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 59% and both teams to score 62%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS yes
62%
Expected goals
1.3988 - 1.6586
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)60%
12 (home/away)73%
X2 (draw/away)68%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.582%
Over 2.559%
Over 3.537%
Clean sheet
Brentford19%
Chelsea25%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Brentford attaque 1.07 face à une défense 0.85 ; Chelsea attaque 1.15 face à 0.99.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.3988 - 1.6586
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Brentford 7/15 · Chelsea 9/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0005).
Strengths — Brentford: att 1.07 / def 0.99 · Chelsea: att 1.15 / def 0.85
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 2.94 / 3.65 / 2.42
Likely scores
1-1 · 12.0%
1-2 · 9.0%
2-1 · 7.6%
0-1 · 6.7%
0-2 · 6.5%
Head-to-head
2Brentford
2draws
1Chelsea
5 meetings
Avg goals · 2.2
BTTS yes · 40%
Over 2.5 · 40%
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