Predify
Premier League · April 06, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 55/100
actual X
27%
27%
47%
1 27%X 27%2 47%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +5.3% vs market)
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS yes
58%
Expected goals
1.146 - 1.7928
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)53%
12 (home/away)73%
X2 (draw/away)74%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.580%
Over 2.556%
Over 3.534%
Clean sheet
Man United17%
Man City32%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Man United attaque 0.90 face à une défense 0.84 ; Man City attaque 1.31 face à 0.94.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.146 - 1.7928
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Man United 8/15 · Man City 7/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0027).
Strengths — Man United: att 0.90 / def 0.94 · Man City: att 1.31 / def 0.84
Recent form (last 5)
Man UnitedDWDWL
Man CityLWLDW
Market odds
football-data — 3.48 / 3.75 / 2.11
Likely scores
1-1 · 12.0%
1-2 · 9.8%
0-2 · 8.5%
0-1 · 8.4%
0-0 · 6.4%
Head-to-head
2Man United
0draws
3Man City
5 meetings
Avg goals · 4.4
BTTS yes · 80%
Over 2.5 · 100%
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