Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 65/100
actual X
70%
19%
1 70%X 19%2 12%
⚡ Value detected on X (edge +6.0% vs market)
Over 2.5
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS yes
53%
Expected goals
2.3527 - 0.8698
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)88%
12 (home/away)81%
X2 (draw/away)30%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.584%
Over 2.562%
Over 3.540%
Clean sheet
Chelsea42%
Ipswich10%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Chelsea attaque 1.10 face à une défense 1.41 ; Ipswich attaque 0.74 face à 0.81.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.3527 - 0.8698
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Chelsea 10/15 · Ipswich 3/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0104).
Strengths — Chelsea: att 1.10 / def 0.81 · Ipswich: att 0.74 / def 1.41
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.21 / 7.43 / 13.76
Likely scores
2-0 · 11.0%
2-1 · 9.6%
1-1 · 9.0%
3-0 · 8.6%
1-0 · 8.6%
Head-to-head
0Chelsea
0draws
1Ipswich
1 meetings
Avg goals · 2.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 0%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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