Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 55/100
actual X
28%
25%
47%
1 28%X 25%2 47%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +12.1% vs market)
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5
25%
BTTS yes
73%
Expected goals
1.5647 - 2.3834
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)53%
12 (home/away)75%
X2 (draw/away)72%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.591%
Over 2.575%
Over 3.556%
Clean sheet
Brighton9%
Newcastle21%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Brighton attaque 1.09 face à une défense 0.91 ; Newcastle attaque 1.44 face à 1.17.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.5647 - 2.3834
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Brighton 4/15 · Newcastle 12/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0107).
Strengths — Brighton: att 1.09 / def 1.17 · Newcastle: att 1.44 / def 0.91
Recent form (last 5)
B Brighton
LLDLW
NewcastleWWWLW
Market odds
football-data — 3.13 / 3.75 / 2.26
Likely scores
1-2 · 8.6%
1-1 · 7.9%
1-3 · 6.8%
2-2 · 6.7%
2-1 · 5.6%
Head-to-head
2Brighton
2draws
1Newcastle
5 meetings
Avg goals · 2.4
BTTS yes · 60%
Over 2.5 · 40%
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