Provence face Kurdistan in the International, June 28, 2013 — and the model calls it tight: 45% home, 27% draw, 28% away. Over their last five, Provence collected 6/15 points to Kurdistan's 10/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 96% and both teams to score 91%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.