Ellan Vannin face Monaco in the International, April 06, 2014 — and the model calls it tight: 36% home, 32% draw, 32% away. Over their last five, Ellan Vannin collected 0/15 points to Monaco's 6/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 60% and both teams to score 63%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.