Analysis Tonga – Samoa (International (sélections))

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International · March 20, 2024

TongaT1:4SSamoa

1X2 prediction

confidence 39/100

✓ correct

16%

20%

63%

1 16%X 20%2 63%

Match preview

Tonga face Samoa in the International, March 20, 2024. Predify's model leans an away win with a 63% probability. Over their last five, Tonga collected 3/15 points to Samoa's 6/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 97% and both teams to score 65%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.

Over 2.5

97%

Under 2.5

BTTS yes

65%

Expected goals

1.0578 - 6

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)37%

12 (home/away)80%

X2 (draw/away)84%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.599%

Over 2.597%

Over 3.592%

Clean sheet

Tonga0%

Samoa35%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

Tonga attaque 1.25 face à une défense 0.61 ; Samoa attaque 2.27 face à 2.38.

Buts attendus (λ)

1.0578 - 6

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

Tonga 3/15 · Samoa 6/15

Strengths — Tonga: att 1.25 / def 2.38 · Samoa: att 2.27 / def 0.61

Recent form (last 5)

T Tonga

LLLLW

S Samoa

LLWLW

Market odds

No odds available.

Likely scores

1-5 · 6.2%

1-6 · 6.2%

0-5 · 5.8%

0-6 · 5.8%

1-7 · 5.3%

Head-to-head

0Tonga

1draws

2Samoa

3 meetings

Avg goals · 2.3

BTTS yes · 33%

Over 2.5 · 33%

Jul 12, 19Samoa2-0Tonga

Sep 04, 15Tonga0-3Samoa

Nov 24, 11Samoa1-1Tonga

ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.

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