Analysis Mainz – Bielefeld (Bundesliga)

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Bundesliga · March 19, 2022

Mainz

4:0BBielefeld

1X2 prediction

confidence 58/100

✓ correct

55%

28%

17%

1 55%X 28%2 17%

⚡ Value detected on X (edge +8.4% vs market)

Over 2.5

34%

Under 2.5

66%

BTTS yes

39%

Expected goals

1.3471 - 0.7143

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)83%

12 (home/away)72%

X2 (draw/away)45%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.562%

Over 2.534%

Over 3.515%

Clean sheet

Mainz49%

Bielefeld26%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

Mainz attaque 0.91 face à une défense 0.86 ; Bielefeld attaque 0.60 face à 0.86.

Buts attendus (λ)

1.3471 - 0.7143

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

Mainz 7/15 · Bielefeld 3/15

Accord avec le marché

Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0164).

Strengths — Mainz: att 0.91 / def 0.86 · Bielefeld: att 0.60 / def 0.86

Recent form (last 5)

Mainz

WDWLL

B Bielefeld

LWLLL

Market odds

football-data — 1.49 / 4.38 / 7.98

Likely scores

1-0 · 15.9%

0-0 · 14.0%

1-1 · 13.5%

2-0 · 11.6%

2-1 · 8.3%

Head-to-head

1Mainz

0draws

0Bielefeld

1 meetings

Avg goals · 3.0

BTTS yes · 100%

Over 2.5 · 100%

Oct 30, 21Bielefeld1-2Mainz

ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.

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