Predify
Bundesliga · April 30, 2023
1X2 prediction
confidence 77/100
✓ correct
85%
1 85%X 10%2 5%
Match preview
Bayern Munich face Hertha in the Bundesliga, April 30, 2023. Predify's model leans a home win with a 85% probability. Over their last five, Bayern Munich collected 7/15 points to Hertha's 1/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 87% and both teams to score 58%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
87%
Under 2.5
13%
BTTS yes
58%
Expected goals
4.0582 - 0.8821
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)95%
12 (home/away)90%
X2 (draw/away)15%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.596%
Over 2.587%
Over 3.573%
Clean sheet
Bayern Munich41%
Hertha2%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Bayern Munich attaque 1.57 face à une défense 1.46 ; Hertha attaque 0.80 face à 0.85.
Buts attendus (λ)
4.0582 - 0.8821
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Bayern Munich 7/15 · Hertha 1/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0001).
Strengths — Bayern Munich: att 1.57 / def 0.85 · Hertha: att 0.80 / def 1.46
Recent form (last 5)
Bayern MunichLWWDL
H Hertha
LDLLL
Market odds
football-data — 1.08 / 14 / 26
Likely scores
4-0 · 8.1%
3-0 · 8.0%
4-1 · 7.1%
3-1 · 7.0%
5-0 · 6.6%
Head-to-head
3Bayern Munich
0draws
0Hertha
3 meetings
Avg goals · 5.0
BTTS yes · 67%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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