Predify
Bundesliga · May 05, 2023
1X2 prediction
confidence 60/100
actual 2
60%
23%
17%
1 60%X 23%2 17%
⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +12.3% vs market)
Over 2.5
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS yes
52%
Expected goals
2.3255 - 0.827
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)83%
12 (home/away)77%
X2 (draw/away)40%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.583%
Over 2.561%
Over 3.539%
Clean sheet
Mainz44%
Schalke 0410%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Mainz attaque 1.12 face à une défense 1.16 ; Schalke 04 attaque 0.71 face à 0.91.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.3255 - 0.827
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Mainz 8/15 · Schalke 04 6/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0139).
Strengths — Mainz: att 1.12 / def 0.91 · Schalke 04: att 0.71 / def 1.16
Recent form (last 5)
MainzWDDWL
S0 Schalke 04
LLWLW
Market odds
football-data — 1.69 / 4.19 / 5.16
Likely scores
2-0 · 11.6%
2-1 · 9.6%
1-0 · 9.1%
1-1 · 9.0%
3-0 · 9.0%
Head-to-head
0Mainz
0draws
1Schalke 04
1 meetings
Avg goals · 1.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 0%
Nov 09, 22Schalke 041-0Mainz
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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