Predify
Bundesliga · April 06, 2024
1X2 prediction
confidence 57/100
✓ correct
55%
25%
20%
1 55%X 25%2 20%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +9.6% vs market)
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS yes
51%
Expected goals
1.5611 - 0.9785
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)80%
12 (home/away)75%
X2 (draw/away)45%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.573%
Over 2.547%
Over 3.525%
Clean sheet
Mainz38%
Darmstadt21%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Mainz attaque 0.61 face à une défense 1.50 ; Darmstadt attaque 0.67 face à 1.04.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.5611 - 0.9785
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Mainz 5/15 · Darmstadt 2/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0261).
Strengths — Mainz: att 0.61 / def 1.04 · Darmstadt: att 0.67 / def 1.50
Recent form (last 5)
MainzLDLWD
D Darmstadt
DLLLD
Market odds
football-data — 1.42 / 5.11 / 7.49
Likely scores
1-1 · 13.3%
1-0 · 11.1%
2-0 · 9.6%
2-1 · 9.4%
0-0 · 9.1%
Head-to-head
0Mainz
1draws
0Darmstadt
1 meetings
Avg goals · 0.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 0%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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