Predify
Bundesliga · April 14, 2024
1X2 prediction
confidence 56/100
✓ correct
24%
25%
52%
1 24%X 25%2 52%
Over 2.5
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS yes
65%
Expected goals
1.3022 - 2.1018
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)48%
12 (home/away)75%
X2 (draw/away)76%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.586%
Over 2.566%
Over 3.544%
Clean sheet
Darmstadt12%
Freiburg27%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Darmstadt attaque 0.63 face à une défense 1.19 ; Freiburg attaque 0.98 face à 1.56.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.3022 - 2.1018
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Darmstadt 1/15 · Freiburg 7/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0001).
Strengths — Darmstadt: att 0.63 / def 1.56 · Freiburg: att 0.98 / def 1.19
Recent form (last 5)
D Darmstadt
LLLDL
FreiburgDWLWL
Market odds
football-data — 4.57 / 4.2 / 1.76
Likely scores
1-1 · 10.0%
1-2 · 9.6%
0-2 · 7.3%
1-3 · 6.7%
2-2 · 6.2%
Head-to-head
0Darmstadt
1draws
0Freiburg
1 meetings
Avg goals · 2.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 0%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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