Analysis Mainz – FC Koln (Bundesliga)

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Bundesliga · April 28, 2024

Mainz

1:1FKFC Koln

1X2 prediction

confidence 58/100

actual X

55%

27%

19%

1 55%X 27%2 19%

⚡ Value detected on X (edge +5.6% vs market)

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

60%

BTTS yes

43%

Expected goals

1.5455 - 0.7584

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)81%

12 (home/away)73%

X2 (draw/away)45%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.568%

Over 2.541%

Over 3.520%

Clean sheet

Mainz47%

FC Koln21%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

Mainz attaque 0.81 face à une défense 1.10 ; FC Koln attaque 0.58 face à 0.94.

Buts attendus (λ)

1.5455 - 0.7584

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

Mainz 11/15 · FC Koln 4/15

Accord avec le marché

Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0036).

Strengths — Mainz: att 0.81 / def 0.94 · FC Koln: att 0.58 / def 1.10

Recent form (last 5)

Mainz

WDWWD

FK FC Koln

LDWLL

Market odds

football-data — 1.58 / 4.34 / 5.99

Likely scores

1-0 · 14.3%

1-1 · 12.9%

2-0 · 11.9%

0-0 · 11.2%

2-1 · 9.0%

Head-to-head

1Mainz

3draws

1FC Koln

5 meetings

Avg goals · 2.8

BTTS yes · 60%

Over 2.5 · 40%

Dec 10, 23FC Koln0-0Mainz

Apr 15, 23FC Koln1-1Mainz

Oct 21, 22Mainz5-0FC Koln

Apr 09, 22

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