FC Koln face Union Berlin in the Bundesliga, May 11, 2024 — and the model calls it tight: 36% home, 32% draw, 32% away. Over their last five, FC Koln collected 5/15 points to Union Berlin's 1/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 27%, with BTTS at 37%. The model also flags value on a draw versus the closing line. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.