Predify
Bundesliga · May 18, 2024
1X2 prediction
confidence 74/100
✓ correct
81%
12%
1 81%X 12%2 6%
Match preview
Dortmund face Darmstadt in the Bundesliga, May 18, 2024. Predify's model leans a home win with a 81% probability. Over their last five, Dortmund collected 7/15 points to Darmstadt's 3/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 75% and both teams to score 46%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5
25%
BTTS yes
46%
Expected goals
3.2527 - 0.6509
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)94%
12 (home/away)88%
X2 (draw/away)19%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.591%
Over 2.575%
Over 3.555%
Clean sheet
Dortmund52%
Darmstadt4%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Dortmund attaque 1.25 face à une défense 1.52 ; Darmstadt attaque 0.54 face à 0.85.
Buts attendus (λ)
3.2527 - 0.6509
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Dortmund 7/15 · Darmstadt 3/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0008).
Strengths — Dortmund: att 1.25 / def 0.85 · Darmstadt: att 0.54 / def 1.52
Recent form (last 5)
DortmundWDLWL
D Darmstadt
LWLLL
Market odds
football-data — 1.12 / 10.99 / 19.47
Likely scores
3-0 · 11.6%
2-0 · 10.7%
4-0 · 9.4%
3-1 · 7.5%
2-1 · 7.0%
Head-to-head
1Dortmund
0draws
0Darmstadt
1 meetings
Avg goals · 3.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
Embed this prediction
Paste this on your site — it stays in sync and links back to Predify.
<iframe src="https://getpredify.com/embed/match/cmquoi7s602uat0ddlawju9io" width="340" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;max-width:100%" loading="lazy" title="Predify prediction"></iframe>