Predify
Bundesliga · May 18, 2024
1X2 prediction
confidence 55/100
✓ correct
47%
28%
26%
1 47%X 28%2 26%
⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +6.9% vs market)
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS yes
46%
Expected goals
1.5456 - 0.8404
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)74%
12 (home/away)72%
X2 (draw/away)53%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.570%
Over 2.543%
Over 3.522%
Clean sheet
Heidenheim43%
FC Koln21%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Heidenheim attaque 0.88 face à une défense 1.03 ; FC Koln attaque 0.62 face à 0.94.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.5456 - 0.8404
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Heidenheim 6/15 · FC Koln 5/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.01).
Strengths — Heidenheim: att 0.88 / def 0.94 · FC Koln: att 0.62 / def 1.03
Recent form (last 5)
HeidenheimDLWDD
FK FC Koln
LLDDW
Market odds
football-data — 2.12 / 3.91 / 3.32
Likely scores
1-1 · 13.1%
1-0 · 13.0%
2-0 · 11.0%
0-0 · 10.4%
2-1 · 9.2%
Head-to-head
0Heidenheim
1draws
0FC Koln
1 meetings
Avg goals · 2.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 0%
Jan 13, 24FC Koln1-1Heidenheim
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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