Predify
Bundesliga · May 10, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
✓ correct
31%
26%
43%
1 31%X 26%2 43%
⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +6.5% vs market)
Over 2.5
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS yes
70%
Expected goals
1.6739 - 1.9005
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)57%
12 (home/away)74%
X2 (draw/away)69%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.588%
Over 2.569%
Over 3.548%
Clean sheet
Holstein Kiel15%
Freiburg19%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Holstein Kiel attaque 1.03 face à une défense 1.00 ; Freiburg attaque 0.95 face à 1.38.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.6739 - 1.9005
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Holstein Kiel 8/15 · Freiburg 10/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0037).
Strengths — Holstein Kiel: att 1.03 / def 1.38 · Freiburg: att 0.95 / def 1.00
Recent form (last 5)
Holstein KielDLDWW
FreiburgLWWWD
Market odds
football-data — 3.59 / 3.85 / 2.04
Likely scores
1-1 · 9.8%
1-2 · 8.5%
2-1 · 7.5%
2-2 · 7.1%
1-3 · 5.4%
Head-to-head
0Holstein Kiel
0draws
1Freiburg
1 meetings
Avg goals · 5.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
Jan 11, 25Freiburg3-2Holstein Kiel
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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