Predify
Bundesliga · May 17, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 67/100
✓ correct
74%
15%
1 74%X 15%2 12%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +7.8% vs market)
Over 2.5
84%
Under 2.5
16%
BTTS yes
73%
Expected goals
3.2024 - 1.4173
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)88%
12 (home/away)85%
X2 (draw/away)26%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.595%
Over 2.584%
Over 3.568%
Clean sheet
Dortmund24%
Holstein Kiel4%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Dortmund attaque 1.44 face à une défense 1.37 ; Holstein Kiel attaque 1.01 face à 0.96.
Buts attendus (λ)
3.2024 - 1.4173
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Dortmund 13/15 · Holstein Kiel 7/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0212).
Strengths — Dortmund: att 1.44 / def 0.96 · Holstein Kiel: att 1.01 / def 1.37
Recent form (last 5)
DortmundDWWWW
Holstein KielLDWWL
Market odds
football-data — 1.13 / 10.5 / 18
Likely scores
3-1 · 7.6%
2-1 · 7.2%
4-1 · 6.1%
3-2 · 5.4%
3-0 · 5.4%
Head-to-head
0Dortmund
0draws
1Holstein Kiel
1 meetings
Avg goals · 6.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
Jan 14, 25Holstein Kiel4-2Dortmund
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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