Analysis Heidenheim – Werder Bremen (Bundesliga)

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Bundesliga · May 17, 2025

Heidenheim

1:4WBWerder Bremen

1X2 prediction

confidence 54/100

✓ correct

32%

28%

40%

1 32%X 28%2 40%

⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +5.3% vs market)

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

BTTS yes

53%

Expected goals

1.1091 - 1.4608

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)60%

12 (home/away)72%

X2 (draw/away)68%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.574%

Over 2.547%

Over 3.526%

Clean sheet

Heidenheim23%

Werder Bremen33%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

Heidenheim attaque 0.70 face à une défense 0.98 ; Werder Bremen attaque 0.93 face à 1.06.

Buts attendus (λ)

1.1091 - 1.4608

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

Heidenheim 7/15 · Werder Bremen 9/15

Accord avec le marché

Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0055).

Strengths — Heidenheim: att 0.70 / def 1.06 · Werder Bremen: att 0.93 / def 0.98

Recent form (last 5)

Heidenheim

LLWDW

WB Werder Bremen

WWDDD

Market odds

football-data — 2.74 / 3.77 / 2.52

Likely scores

1-1 · 13.6%

0-1 · 9.9%

1-2 · 9.1%

0-0 · 8.9%

0-2 · 8.2%

Head-to-head

2Heidenheim

1draws

0Werder Bremen

3 meetings

Avg goals · 5.0

BTTS yes · 100%

Over 2.5 · 100%

Jan 15, 25Werder Bremen3-3Heidenheim

Feb 10, 24Werder Bremen1-2Heidenheim

Sep 17, 23Heidenheim4-2Werder Bremen

ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.

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