Analysis Bordeaux – Metz (Ligue 1)

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Ligue 1 · April 10, 2022

BordeauxB3:1

Metz

1X2 prediction

confidence 55/100

✓ correct

45%

29%

26%

1 45%X 29%2 26%

⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +6.8% vs market)

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

BTTS yes

56%

Expected goals

1.5587 - 1.2042

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)74%

12 (home/away)71%

X2 (draw/away)55%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.577%

Over 2.552%

Over 3.530%

Clean sheet

Bordeaux30%

Metz21%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

Bordeaux attaque 0.84 face à une défense 1.23 ; Metz attaque 0.62 face à 1.64.

Buts attendus (λ)

1.5587 - 1.2042

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

Bordeaux 2/15 · Metz 2/15

Accord avec le marché

Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0049).

Strengths — Bordeaux: att 0.84 / def 1.64 · Metz: att 0.62 / def 1.23

Recent form (last 5)

B Bordeaux

DLLLD

Metz

DLDLL

Market odds

football-data — 1.93 / 3.5 / 4.56

Likely scores

1-1 · 13.0%

2-1 · 9.2%

1-0 · 8.6%

2-0 · 7.7%

0-0 · 7.5%

Head-to-head

0Bordeaux

1draws

0Metz

1 meetings

Avg goals · 6.0

BTTS yes · 100%

Over 2.5 · 100%

Nov 21, 21Metz3-3Bordeaux

ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.

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