Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
actual X
41%
27%
32%
1 41%X 27%2 32%
Match preview
Bordeaux face Lorient in the Ligue 1, May 14, 2022 — and the model calls it tight: 41% home, 27% draw, 32% away. Over their last five, Bordeaux collected 1/15 points to Lorient's 3/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 68% and both teams to score 69%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS yes
69%
Expected goals
1.8942 - 1.5874
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)68%
12 (home/away)73%
X2 (draw/away)59%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.587%
Over 2.568%
Over 3.546%
Clean sheet
Bordeaux20%
Lorient15%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Bordeaux attaque 0.92 face à une défense 1.30 ; Lorient attaque 0.74 face à 1.76.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.8942 - 1.5874
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Bordeaux 1/15 · Lorient 3/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0026).
Strengths — Bordeaux: att 0.92 / def 1.76 · Lorient: att 0.74 / def 1.30
Recent form (last 5)
B Bordeaux
LDLLL
LorientLWLLL
Market odds
football-data — 2.46 / 3.38 / 3.08
Likely scores
1-1 · 10.2%
2-1 · 8.8%
1-2 · 7.3%
2-2 · 7.0%
3-1 · 5.5%
Head-to-head
0Bordeaux
1draws
0Lorient
1 meetings
Avg goals · 2.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 0%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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