Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 67/100
✓ correct
73%
17%
1 73%X 17%2 10%
⚡ Value detected on X (edge +5.6% vs market)
Over 2.5
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS yes
52%
Expected goals
2.5313 - 0.8234
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)90%
12 (home/away)83%
X2 (draw/away)27%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.586%
Over 2.565%
Over 3.543%
Clean sheet
Rennes44%
Troyes8%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Rennes attaque 1.15 face à une défense 1.48 ; Troyes attaque 0.76 face à 0.86.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.5313 - 0.8234
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Rennes 6/15 · Troyes 1/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0074).
Strengths — Rennes: att 1.15 / def 0.86 · Troyes: att 0.76 / def 1.48
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.18 / 8.45 / 15.05
Likely scores
2-0 · 11.2%
3-0 · 9.4%
2-1 · 9.2%
1-0 · 8.1%
1-1 · 8.0%
Head-to-head
1Rennes
2draws
0Troyes
3 meetings
Avg goals · 3.7
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 67%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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