Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 75/100
✓ correct
82%
14%
1 82%X 14%2 5%
Match preview
Lens face Ajaccio in the Ligue 1, May 27, 2023. Predify's model leans a home win with a 82% probability. Over their last five, Lens collected 15/15 points to Ajaccio's 2/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 63% and both teams to score 27%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS yes
27%
Expected goals
2.8998 - 0.3265
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)95%
12 (home/away)86%
X2 (draw/away)18%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.584%
Over 2.563%
Over 3.540%
Clean sheet
Lens72%
Ajaccio6%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Lens attaque 1.28 face à une défense 1.54 ; Ajaccio attaque 0.41 face à 0.63.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.8998 - 0.3265
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Lens 15/15 · Ajaccio 2/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0047).
Strengths — Lens: att 1.28 / def 0.63 · Ajaccio: att 0.41 / def 1.54
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.15 / 8.18 / 22.33
Likely scores
2-0 · 16.7%
3-0 · 16.1%
4-0 · 11.7%
1-0 · 11.1%
5-0 · 6.8%
Head-to-head
0Lens
1draws
0Ajaccio
1 meetings
Avg goals · 0.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 0%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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