Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 64/100
actual 1
20%
68%
1 12%X 20%2 68%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +14.3% vs market)
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS yes
36%
Expected goals
0.4968 - 2.4575
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)32%
12 (home/away)80%
X2 (draw/away)88%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.580%
Over 2.557%
Over 3.534%
Clean sheet
Ajaccio9%
Marseille61%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Ajaccio attaque 0.39 face à une défense 0.86 ; Marseille attaque 1.25 face à 1.57.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.4968 - 2.4575
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Ajaccio 1/15 · Marseille 6/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0231).
Strengths — Ajaccio: att 0.39 / def 1.57 · Marseille: att 1.25 / def 0.86
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 7.2 / 4.64 / 1.48
Likely scores
0-2 · 15.7%
0-3 · 12.9%
0-1 · 12.2%
0-4 · 7.9%
1-2 · 7.8%
Head-to-head
1Ajaccio
0draws
0Marseille
1 meetings
Avg goals · 3.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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