Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 61/100
✓ correct
61%
25%
13%
1 61%X 25%2 13%
Match preview
Brest face Metz in the Ligue 1, April 07, 2024. Predify's model leans a home win with a 61% probability. Over their last five, Brest collected 10/15 points to Metz's 6/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 40%, with BTTS at 34%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS yes
34%
Expected goals
1.751 - 0.5207
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)87%
12 (home/away)75%
X2 (draw/away)39%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.567%
Over 2.540%
Over 3.519%
Clean sheet
Brest59%
Metz17%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Brest attaque 1.01 face à une défense 1.26 ; Metz attaque 0.73 face à 0.56.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.751 - 0.5207
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Brest 10/15 · Metz 6/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0019).
Strengths — Brest: att 1.01 / def 0.56 · Metz: att 0.73 / def 1.26
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.51 / 4.2 / 7.65
Likely scores
1-0 · 17.1%
2-0 · 15.8%
0-0 · 11.3%
1-1 · 10.3%
3-0 · 9.2%
Head-to-head
2Brest
0draws
1Metz
3 meetings
Avg goals · 1.7
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 33%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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