Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 59/100
actual 1
18%
25%
57%
1 18%X 25%2 57%
Match preview
Metz face Lens in the Ligue 1, April 12, 2024. Predify's model leans an away win with a 57% probability. Over their last five, Metz collected 6/15 points to Lens's 7/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 54% and both teams to score 52%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS yes
52%
Expected goals
0.9121 - 1.92
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)43%
12 (home/away)75%
X2 (draw/away)82%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.578%
Over 2.554%
Over 3.532%
Clean sheet
Metz15%
Lens40%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Metz attaque 0.84 face à une défense 0.80 ; Lens attaque 1.10 face à 1.38.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.9121 - 1.92
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Metz 6/15 · Lens 7/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0003).
Strengths — Metz: att 0.84 / def 1.38 · Lens: att 1.10 / def 0.80
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 6.35 / 4.25 / 1.56
Likely scores
1-1 · 11.3%
0-2 · 10.8%
0-1 · 10.3%
1-2 · 9.9%
0-3 · 7.0%
Head-to-head
1Metz
1draws
1Lens
3 meetings
Avg goals · 2.0
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 33%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
Embed this prediction
Paste this on your site — it stays in sync and links back to Predify.
<iframe src="https://getpredify.com/embed/match/cmquoid0m09d4t0ddfwi3yntk" width="340" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;max-width:100%" loading="lazy" title="Predify prediction"></iframe>