Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 60/100
✓ correct
60%
23%
17%
1 60%X 23%2 17%
Match preview
Lens face Lorient in the Ligue 1, May 03, 2024. Predify's model leans a home win with a 60% probability. Over their last five, Lens collected 4/15 points to Lorient's 0/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 54% and both teams to score 50%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS yes
50%
Expected goals
1.982 - 0.8499
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)83%
12 (home/away)77%
X2 (draw/away)40%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.578%
Over 2.554%
Over 3.532%
Clean sheet
Lens43%
Lorient14%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Lens attaque 1.00 face à une défense 1.38 ; Lorient attaque 0.80 face à 0.79.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.982 - 0.8499
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Lens 4/15 · Lorient 0/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0012).
Strengths — Lens: att 1.00 / def 0.79 · Lorient: att 0.80 / def 1.38
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.47 / 4.98 / 6.76
Likely scores
2-0 · 11.6%
1-1 · 10.9%
1-0 · 10.7%
2-1 · 9.8%
3-0 · 7.6%
Head-to-head
2Lens
2draws
1Lorient
5 meetings
Avg goals · 3.4
BTTS yes · 60%
Over 2.5 · 60%
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