Analysis Metz – Rennes (Ligue 1)

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Ligue 1 · May 04, 2024

MetzM2:3RRennes

1X2 prediction

confidence 56/100

✓ correct

25%

26%

49%

1 25%X 26%2 49%

Match preview

Metz face Rennes in the Ligue 1, May 04, 2024. Predify's model leans an away win with a 49% probability. Over their last five, Metz collected 6/15 points to Rennes's 3/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 60% and both teams to score 60%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

40%

BTTS yes

60%

Expected goals

1.1708 - 1.9255

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)51%

12 (home/away)74%

X2 (draw/away)75%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.583%

Over 2.560%

Over 3.537%

Clean sheet

Metz15%

Rennes31%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

Metz attaque 0.83 face à une défense 0.99 ; Rennes attaque 1.19 face à 1.22.

Buts attendus (λ)

1.1708 - 1.9255

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

Metz 6/15 · Rennes 3/15

Accord avec le marché

Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0016).

Strengths — Metz: att 0.83 / def 1.22 · Rennes: att 1.19 / def 0.99

Recent form (last 5)

M Metz

LLWWL

R Rennes

LLLWL

Market odds

football-data — 3.95 / 3.72 / 1.97

Likely scores

1-1 · 11.2%

1-2 · 9.8%

0-2 · 8.4%

0-1 · 7.7%

1-3 · 6.3%

Head-to-head

0Metz

0draws

3Rennes

3 meetings

Avg goals · 5.3

BTTS yes · 67%

Over 2.5 · 100%

Aug 13, 23Rennes5-1Metz

Mar 20, 22Rennes6-1Metz

Oct 17, 21Metz0-3Rennes

ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.

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