Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 60/100
✓ correct
61%
22%
17%
1 61%X 22%2 17%
Match preview
Marseille face Lorient in the Ligue 1, May 12, 2024. Predify's model leans a home win with a 61% probability. Over their last five, Marseille collected 5/15 points to Lorient's 0/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 62% and both teams to score 56%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS yes
56%
Expected goals
2.2666 - 0.9474
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)83%
12 (home/away)78%
X2 (draw/away)39%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.584%
Over 2.562%
Over 3.540%
Clean sheet
Marseille39%
Lorient10%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Marseille attaque 1.13 face à une défense 1.38 ; Lorient attaque 0.76 face à 0.94.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.2666 - 0.9474
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Marseille 5/15 · Lorient 0/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0005).
Strengths — Marseille: att 1.13 / def 0.94 · Lorient: att 0.76 / def 1.38
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.51 / 4.71 / 6.34
Likely scores
2-0 · 10.3%
2-1 · 9.8%
1-1 · 9.5%
1-0 · 8.3%
3-0 · 7.8%
Head-to-head
4Marseille
1draws
0Lorient
5 meetings
Avg goals · 3.6
BTTS yes · 60%
Over 2.5 · 80%
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