Predify
Ligue 1 · March 28, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
actual 1
35%
28%
37%
1 35%X 28%2 37%
Match preview
Strasbourg face Lyon in the Ligue 1, March 28, 2025 — and the model calls it tight: 35% home, 28% draw, 37% away. Over their last five, Strasbourg collected 13/15 points to Lyon's 12/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 52% and both teams to score 57%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS yes
57%
Expected goals
1.3541 - 1.4175
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)63%
12 (home/away)72%
X2 (draw/away)65%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.578%
Over 2.552%
Over 3.530%
Clean sheet
Strasbourg24%
Lyon26%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Strasbourg attaque 0.99 face à une défense 0.89 ; Lyon attaque 1.39 face à 0.75.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.3541 - 1.4175
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Strasbourg 13/15 · Lyon 12/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0001).
Strengths — Strasbourg: att 0.99 / def 0.75 · Lyon: att 1.39 / def 0.89
Recent form (last 5)
StrasbourgWDWWW
LyonWLWWW
Market odds
football-data — 2.71 / 3.62 / 2.62
Likely scores
1-1 · 13.2%
1-2 · 8.5%
2-1 · 8.1%
0-1 · 7.7%
0-0 · 7.5%
Head-to-head
2Strasbourg
0draws
3Lyon
5 meetings
Avg goals · 3.8
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
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