Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
✓ correct
40%
28%
32%
1 40%X 28%2 32%
Match preview
Lyon face Lille in the Ligue 1, April 05, 2025 — and the model calls it tight: 40% home, 28% draw, 32% away. Over their last five, Lyon collected 9/15 points to Lille's 9/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 55% and both teams to score 59%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS yes
59%
Expected goals
1.5233 - 1.3577
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)68%
12 (home/away)72%
X2 (draw/away)60%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.579%
Over 2.555%
Over 3.533%
Clean sheet
Lyon26%
Lille22%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Lyon attaque 1.36 face à une défense 0.72 ; Lille attaque 0.99 face à 0.97.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.5233 - 1.3577
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Lyon 9/15 · Lille 9/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0006).
Strengths — Lyon: att 1.36 / def 0.97 · Lille: att 0.99 / def 0.72
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 2.31 / 3.5 / 3.23
Likely scores
1-1 · 12.8%
2-1 · 8.8%
1-2 · 7.9%
1-0 · 7.4%
0-0 · 6.8%
Head-to-head
2Lyon
2draws
1Lille
5 meetings
Avg goals · 3.6
BTTS yes · 60%
Over 2.5 · 40%
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