Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
✓ correct
31%
30%
39%
1 31%X 30%2 39%
Match preview
Toulouse face Lille in the Ligue 1, April 12, 2025 — and the model calls it tight: 31% home, 30% draw, 39% away. Over their last five, Toulouse collected 4/15 points to Lille's 6/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 46%, with BTTS at 52%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS yes
52%
Expected goals
1.1676 - 1.3444
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)61%
12 (home/away)70%
X2 (draw/away)69%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.573%
Over 2.546%
Over 3.525%
Clean sheet
Toulouse26%
Lille31%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Toulouse attaque 1.00 face à une défense 0.77 ; Lille attaque 0.99 face à 0.98.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.1676 - 1.3444
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Toulouse 4/15 · Lille 6/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0002).
Strengths — Toulouse: att 1.00 / def 0.98 · Lille: att 0.99 / def 0.77
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 3.31 / 3.25 / 2.4
Likely scores
1-1 · 14.0%
0-1 · 9.6%
0-0 · 9.4%
1-2 · 8.6%
1-0 · 8.2%
Head-to-head
1Toulouse
1draws
3Lille
5 meetings
Avg goals · 2.8
BTTS yes · 80%
Over 2.5 · 60%
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