Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 55/100
✓ correct
28%
27%
46%
1 28%X 27%2 46%
⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +9.3% vs market)
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS yes
61%
Expected goals
1.3711 - 1.6157
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)54%
12 (home/away)73%
X2 (draw/away)72%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.581%
Over 2.557%
Over 3.535%
Clean sheet
Auxerre20%
Lyon25%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Auxerre attaque 0.92 face à une défense 0.97 ; Lyon attaque 1.38 face à 0.84.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.3711 - 1.6157
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Auxerre 10/15 · Lyon 12/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0107).
Strengths — Auxerre: att 0.92 / def 0.84 · Lyon: att 1.38 / def 0.97
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 4.41 / 3.94 / 1.83
Likely scores
1-1 · 12.3%
1-2 · 9.0%
2-1 · 7.7%
0-1 · 7.0%
0-2 · 6.6%
Head-to-head
1Auxerre
1draws
1Lyon
3 meetings
Avg goals · 3.3
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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