Predify
Ligue 1 · April 20, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 61/100
actual 1
17%
20%
62%
1 17%X 20%2 62%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +15.2% vs market)
Over 2.5
80%
Under 2.5
20%
BTTS yes
67%
Expected goals
1.1846 - 3.0644
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)38%
12 (home/away)80%
X2 (draw/away)83%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.593%
Over 2.580%
Over 3.561%
Clean sheet
St Etienne5%
Lyon31%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
St Etienne attaque 0.81 face à une défense 0.94 ; Lyon attaque 1.40 face à 1.56.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.1846 - 3.0644
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
St Etienne 5/15 · Lyon 12/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0194).
Strengths — St Etienne: att 0.81 / def 1.56 · Lyon: att 1.40 / def 0.94
Recent form (last 5)
SE St Etienne
DWLLD
LyonWWLWW
Market odds
football-data — 5.05 / 4.48 / 1.64
Likely scores
1-3 · 8.1%
1-2 · 7.9%
0-3 · 6.9%
0-2 · 6.7%
1-4 · 6.2%
Head-to-head
0St Etienne
1draws
2Lyon
3 meetings
Avg goals · 1.3
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 0%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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