Predify
Ligue 1 · April 26, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 61/100
✓ correct
62%
22%
16%
1 62%X 22%2 16%
⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +7.7% vs market)
Over 2.5
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS yes
53%
Expected goals
2.3504 - 0.8542
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)84%
12 (home/away)78%
X2 (draw/away)38%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.584%
Over 2.562%
Over 3.540%
Clean sheet
Strasbourg43%
St Etienne10%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Strasbourg attaque 1.01 face à une défense 1.50 ; St Etienne attaque 0.84 face à 0.72.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.3504 - 0.8542
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Strasbourg 11/15 · St Etienne 7/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0065).
Strengths — Strasbourg: att 1.01 / def 0.72 · St Etienne: att 0.84 / def 1.50
Recent form (last 5)
StrasbourgWWWDD
SE St Etienne
WLLDW
Market odds
football-data — 1.56 / 4.7 / 5.67
Likely scores
2-0 · 11.2%
2-1 · 9.6%
1-1 · 9.0%
3-0 · 8.8%
1-0 · 8.7%
Head-to-head
1Strasbourg
1draws
1St Etienne
3 meetings
Avg goals · 4.0
BTTS yes · 67%
Over 2.5 · 67%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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