Predify
Ligue 1 · May 04, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 64/100
✓ correct
68%
20%
12%
1 68%X 20%2 12%
Match preview
Brest face Montpellier in the Ligue 1, May 04, 2025. Predify's model leans a home win with a 68% probability. Over their last five, Brest collected 7/15 points to Montpellier's 1/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 60% and both teams to score 48%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS yes
48%
Expected goals
2.4053 - 0.723
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)88%
12 (home/away)80%
X2 (draw/away)32%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.583%
Over 2.560%
Over 3.538%
Clean sheet
Brest49%
Montpellier9%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Brest attaque 1.10 face à une défense 1.40 ; Montpellier attaque 0.46 face à 1.13.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.4053 - 0.723
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Brest 7/15 · Montpellier 1/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0013).
Strengths — Brest: att 1.10 / def 1.13 · Montpellier: att 0.46 / def 1.40
Recent form (last 5)
BrestWWDLL
MontpellierLLLLD
Market odds
football-data — 1.35 / 5.62 / 8.73
Likely scores
2-0 · 12.7%
3-0 · 10.2%
1-0 · 9.8%
2-1 · 9.2%
1-1 · 8.4%
Head-to-head
2Brest
0draws
3Montpellier
5 meetings
Avg goals · 4.0
BTTS yes · 40%
Over 2.5 · 80%
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