Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 59/100
actual 2
59%
23%
18%
1 59%X 23%2 18%
Match preview
Lyon face Lens in the Ligue 1, May 04, 2025. Predify's model leans a home win with a 59% probability. Over their last five, Lyon collected 9/15 points to Lens's 6/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 59% and both teams to score 57%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS yes
57%
Expected goals
2.0137 - 1.0261
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)82%
12 (home/away)77%
X2 (draw/away)41%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.582%
Over 2.559%
Over 3.536%
Clean sheet
Lyon36%
Lens13%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Lyon attaque 1.43 face à une défense 0.90 ; Lens attaque 0.77 face à 0.95.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.0137 - 1.0261
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Lyon 9/15 · Lens 6/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0049).
Strengths — Lyon: att 1.43 / def 0.95 · Lens: att 0.77 / def 0.90
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.44 / 5.25 / 6.74
Likely scores
1-1 · 10.9%
2-1 · 10.0%
2-0 · 9.7%
1-0 · 8.6%
3-1 · 6.7%
Head-to-head
1Lyon
1draws
3Lens
5 meetings
Avg goals · 2.4
BTTS yes · 40%
Over 2.5 · 60%
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