Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 66/100
✓ correct
73%
16%
1 73%X 16%2 11%
⚡ Value detected on X (edge +8.8% vs market)
Over 2.5
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS yes
61%
Expected goals
2.5097 - 1.0541
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)89%
12 (home/away)84%
X2 (draw/away)27%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.588%
Over 2.569%
Over 3.548%
Clean sheet
Paris SG35%
Auxerre8%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Paris SG attaque 1.75 face à une défense 0.94 ; Auxerre attaque 0.98 face à 0.78.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.5097 - 1.0541
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Paris SG 7/15 · Auxerre 4/15
Accord avec le marché
⚠ Divergence notable avec le marché (0.0308) — prudence.
Strengths — Paris SG: att 1.75 / def 0.78 · Auxerre: att 0.98 / def 0.94
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.13 / 9.95 / 19.33
Likely scores
2-1 · 9.4%
2-0 · 8.9%
1-1 · 8.2%
3-1 · 7.9%
3-0 · 7.5%
Head-to-head
2Paris SG
1draws
0Auxerre
3 meetings
Avg goals · 2.7
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 67%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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